4 ACTIVE FBS SPREADS ONLY RULES v4.2

Algorithm.
Not Instinct.

v0.1.4  ·  v4.2 · EXP-019 discovery · T1=4 T2=63 · money real-odds

+10.3% Avg ROI · T1 Systems
1025 Avg N · T1 Systems
2.96 Avg Score · T1 Systems
2026 Season Opening Week 0
View Systems

System Rankings

All systems evaluated against BETTING_SYSTEM_RULES v4.2. Strict N/ROI + CI + p. Backtest-activation primacy.

TABLE 1 Active — Public picks · 1 unit flat 5 systems
# ID System N W-L ROI Score Status CLV
# ID System N W-L ROI Score Status CLV
TABLE 3–4 Watchlist — Below threshold or negative ROI
# ID System N W-L ROI Score Status CLV

Season Picks

Table 1 ACTIVE systems · 1 unit flat per fire · generated from registry masks

Awaiting Week 0

CFB 2026 · T1 systems ready · picks post when lines hit cfb.db

CLV GATE Closing line value tracking activates at Week 0. Deadline: 2026-08-20.
T1 READY Loading ACTIVE systems…

How it works

CFB AI is a standalone NCAAF spread algorithm. It does not pick by feel — every system is a quantified edge that survived a rigorous backtest qualification framework before a single public pick is posted.

Walk-forward only. No post-game leakage. Leakage validator runs before every backtest.
5 binary checks. Exclusion rules → N/ROI threshold → CI gate → CLV gate → Monte Carlo MDD.
Flat 1-unit staking. No Kelly sizing, no variable bets. ROI figures are always flat-unit.
FBS only. No FCS matchups, no partial schedules. Clean sample integrity.

Qualification framework

Exclusion Rules BLOWUP, FLUKE, RECENCY FAIL. Any hit is permanent disqualification.
N/ROI Threshold Tiered minimum ROI by sample size. Hard minimum N≥60.
CI Activation Gate 95% CI lower bound above 0 required for Full Active status.
CLV Gate PENDING at activation. Activates after 20 or more live CLV bets collected.
Probabilistic MDD 95th-pct Monte Carlo drawdown limit. Kill switch if breached.